Polish women would vote Law and Justice out of power

A recent poll shows that, if only Polish women voted, the governing Law and Justice party (illiberal and nationalist) would lose power. If only men voted, Law and Justice would control the parliament.

Claudia Ciobanu
Claudia Ciobanu NewsMavens, Central & Eastern Europe
Polish women would vote Law and Justice out of power - NewsMavens
Scepter at Polish Sejm. Wikicommons

Why this story matters:

Commissioned by the Polish women's magazine "Wysokie Obcasy", this poll is one of the first to stress the gender divide that has been suspected for a while in Poland -- after all, while women have been protesting against the governing Law and Justice during the massive "black protests", the nationalist marches on November 11 are almost entirely made up of men. 

With local elections upcoming, the search for how Law and Justice can be defeated (and Poland's road to illiberalism halted) has intensified. While the impact of other factors on voter preference has been debated intensely in Poland, the influence of gender on electoral choice has received less attention. 

Obviously, we can't keep men from voting during the next elections (as tempting of an idea as that might be in front of such evidence). But clearly, more effort needs to be put in understanding the contemporary male position and associated frustration which lead men to make such terrible choices at the polls. And, also -- perhaps an easier task -- women must be mobilized to vote. 

Details from the story:

  • If only Polish women voted, Law and Justice and the biggest opposition party (Civil Platform) would be shoulder to shoulder. The new political force of progressive Slupsk mayor Robert Biedron would get 8 percent, more than any other smaller opposition forces. 
  • If only Polish men voted, Law and Justice would have 40 percent and a parliamentary majority. The far-right would be in parliament, and Law and Justice together with the far-right would have the majority needed to change the constitution. 
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